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Israeli exit polls: Netanyahu bloc loses, but Eisenkot's short of clear majority

October 27, 2026 · Axios

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's far-right coalition is projected to lose its parliamentary majority, but his opponent Gadi Eisenkot's bloc is short of 61 seats, according to Israeli exit polls.

Why it matters: If the election results match that poll, Eisenkot would have to try to swear in a minority government supported by the two Arab parties. It's unclear whether all of his political partners would agree to do that.


What they're saying: Eisenkot said that the exit poll results "point to an unequivocal lack of confidence in Netanyahu and the government responsible for October 7, on the part of the Zionist majority and the majority of Israeli citizens. If these results hold, it will be a victory for Israel's Zionist, pro-state majority."

Driving the news: The exit poll results came after voters flocked to polling stations throughout the day, with turnout reaching a four-decade high. It was the culmination of a campaign that each side warned would lead to catastrophe if the other side won.

Yes, but: Though Eisenkot's bloc outpaced Netanyahu's, the incumbent prime minister's Likud Party received one to two more seats than Eisenkot's Yashar party, per the exit polls.

Go deeper: Israeli turnout hits four-decade high

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